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Biderman’s Daily Edge 5/16/2012: Why Stocks Could Rally but Only for Short Term

May
16

In last Mondays video I said stocks and bonds could rally starting Friday after the Facebook deal prices Thursday night. While I expect Gold to keep rallying, US stocks are unlikely to. Why? My good friend, the late Ed Hart used to say “stocks will trade their way to perdition.” Ed Hart was the best thing on the old Financial News Network before it was assimilated by CNBC. Stocks trading their way to perdition means to me that regardless of long term reality, over the short term stocks can go counter trend, but only for a while. Read More

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Biderman’s Daily Edge 5/14/2012: Stocks & Gold Should Rally Post Facebook IPO

May
14


A major stock market event will occur later this week when Facebook goes public. Stocks and gold likely will keep selling off until the Facebook offering hits the market. And everything else being equal, I then expect a sharp rebound in stocks and gold after the offering.

I personally will be buying Facebook and gold on the IPO day.

The Biderman Market Theory says all there is in the stock market are shares of stock. Not very complicated. 80 percent of all shares are held by mutual funds, Exchange Traded Funds, hedge and pension funds and family offices. Money flows in and out of those institutions. Read More

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A Two-part Conversation with Jim Bianco

May
14

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Biderman’s Daily Edge 5/9/2012: Austerity is Bad

May
09

Austerity is becoming a dirty word. Nobody wants austerity. Wikipedia says austerity is a policy of deficit-cutting, lower spending, and a reduction in the amount of benefits and public services provided. Really, I am shocked to learn that Europeans who have been getting something for nothing want to keep getting that something; particularly since Europes future under the combination of austerity and no growth policies is very, very bleak and dark. Read More

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Biderman’s Daily Edge 5/8/2012: Sell in May and Go Away for Third Straight Year

May
08

In 2010 the US stock market peaked at the end of April and then sold off until the Fed announced QE2 several months later. In 2011 the stock market peaked at the end of April and sold off until the Fed announced Operation Twist several months later. This will be the third year in a row that stocks have started selling off in May. I predict the drop will continue until the Fed announces the next version of stock market stimulus; probably in August at the Fed’s Yellowstone confab. Why stock prices did not peak at the end of this April was that in April 2010 and April 2011 there were decent inflows into US equity mutual funds and US ETFs. This April there were outflows not inflows from both US equity mutual and Exchange Traded Funds…Read More

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Biderman’s Daily Edge 5/7/2012: The Aftermath of Friday’s BLS “Findings”

May
07

Last Fridays’s Bureau of Labor Statistics release said 115,000 new jobs were created in April. However, if you read the footnotes, what Friday’s report really says was that the BLS is 90% certain that April new jobs were between 15,000 and 215,000. Mind you, the BLS did not say 100% only 90% certain. That means it could be negative or wildly positive…Read More

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